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Florida's 16th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Florida actually voted.

Model Florida's 16th Congressional District →

Florida's 16th Congressional District — highlighted within Florida's U.S. House districts · 2024: R+19.0 · open the interactive map →

Current officeholder

Vern Buchanan Republican

2024 result

Republican R+19.0

2024 votes cast

416,141

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 797,764 people, median age 43.5, median household income $81,348.

Population

797,764

Median age

43.5

Median household income

$81,348

Bachelor's degree or higher

34.9%

Race & ethnicity: White 60% · Black 12.1% · Hispanic 21.2% · Asian 2.7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

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Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Florida's 16th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Florida's 16th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.

Open Florida's 16th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Florida's 16th Congressional District?
Vern Buchanan (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Florida's 16th Congressional District?
R+19.0 — 168,625 Democratic, 247,516 Republican, of 416,141 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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