electionsmcp › races › California State House District 46
California State House District 46
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how California actually voted.
Model California State House District 46 →
Current officeholder
Jesse Gabriel Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+25.8
2024 votes cast
170,089
Office
State House
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Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model California State House District 46 in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the California State House District 46 (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from the canonical mixed-grain 2024 presidential baseline.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Explore local geography. Zoom from the state through counties to the finest supported reporting grain and adjust the places available in the model.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then share the exact versioned scenario.
Open California State House District 46 in the simulator →
Frequently asked
Who represents California State House District 46?
Jesse Gabriel (Democratic) currently holds this State House seat.
What was the 2024 result in California State House District 46?
D+25.8 — 106,994 Democratic, 63,095 Republican, of 170,089 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.